Oscars: Updated Predictions – July
With the new, stunning list of films premiering at the Toronto International Film Festival, we thought it was about time we go through and update our Oscar Predictions.
Truthfully though, not much has changed. “The Revenant” still looks strong, The Weinstein Company still has “Carol” and “The Hateful Eight.” “Star Wars” seems like it could nail a lot of the technical categories along with Spielberg’s “Bridge of Spies.”
Once TIFF and Telluride kick off we will have a whole new enlightenment on what is to come, but for now here are our best guesses:
And remember, keep visiting our Oscar page for frequent updates.
The Hateful Eight
The Danish Girl
Beasts of No Nation
You wouldn’t think it, but there is a significant different in the mind of an Academy voter and a Hollywood Foreign Press voter. To end an excellent festival, “The Imitation Game” went home with the TIFF Audience Award. One of the runner-up films was “St. Vincent” another Weinstein film that should farewell in the comedy categories at the Globes.
We went ahead and updated everything, including television categories as we start seeking into a new Fall season for shows.
Click on the category to see our full list of ranked predictions with alternatives and dark horses. Contenders are listed here alphabetically. You can see all of our full predictions here.
Motion Picture – Drama
The Imitation Game
Now that the Toronto International Film Festival comes to a close, we have to all look back and reconstruct our Oscar predictions. The next big festival is the New York Film Festival where mysterious Paul Thomas Anderson film “Inherent Vice” will premiere.
We’re still quite early into doing all of this. But contenders are starting to fill out in various categories. Next Oscar update will include Original Song, Foreign Film, and Documentary as well.
So here is where we stand with our current predictions. Click on the category to see our full list of ranked predictions with alternatives and dark horses. Contenders are listed here alphabetically. You can see all of our full predictions here.
Every year the summer blockbusters begin to simmer down. September comes along and studios start the long campaigning for their chosen films. Historically, the Venice Film Festival and the Telluride Film Festival can jump the award season.
Last year, Oscar rivals “12 Years a Slave” and “Gravity” exploded out of Telluride with rave reviews. This year there are two films sharing the word “Oscar” in many tweets from Colorado. Morten Tyldum’s “The Imitation Game” and Alejandro González Iñárritu’s “Birdman.”
Other notable films that met some positive feedback were Jean-Marc Vallee’s “Wild” and Jon Stewart’s “Rosewater.”
Festival Circuit: Early Rotten Tomatoes and Metacritic Scores
The majority of film critics will view these films closer to their official release dates. However, a few film critics have seen them now at the various film festivals. These scores will obviously change over time, but they can also be a good idea for where the film is headed critically.
Remember, Metacritic assigns a specific numerical score out of 100 for a film based on the film critics reaction, and Rotten Tomatoes creates a percentage based on critics who simply liked it (fresh) or didn’t like it (rotten).
Last night, Jonathan Teplitzky’s WWII drama “The Railway Man” screened in Toronto. Receiving a standing ovation and some positive tweets, but some not-so positive word from film critics.
“Dallas Buyers Club” screened earlier today. No critical word yet, however a slew of tweets rave about the performances of Matthew McConaughey and Jared Leto.
“Prisoners” continues to receive positive buzz, especially around leading actor Hugh Jackman. “12 Years a Slave” screens in Toronto matching, if not exceeding the response at Telluride.
Festival Circuit: Toronto International Film Festival begins – Early Reactions
“The Fifth Estate,” kicked off Toronto with a mixed response despite strong performances from Benedict Cumberbatch and Daniel Bruhl.
Meanwhile, “Captain Phillips” was privately screened to the press and mostly positive reviews have come through for it. Primarily citing the performances of Tom Hanks and newcomer Barkhad Abdi.
“Enough Said” screens to bigger crowd today, but was met with some positive reactions mostly addressing the pleasantness of seeing Gandolfini post-mordem.