12:01am – Spotlight is the first film since 1952’s The Greatest Show on Earth to win the Best Picture Oscar with only one other win. Check out the links above for more on the 2017 Oscar Predictions. Thanks for following!
12:00am – Spotlight wins Best Picture! Makes HISTORY!
12:00am – Predicting REVENENAT
11:59pm – Morgan Freeman to present Best Picture. But we are all winners tonight right? (more…)
I’m exhausted and ready to move onto the 2017 Oscar predicting. The day before Oscars, I was asked like I usually am by a few people
“What’s winning Best Picture tomorrow?”
It sucks that the best I can give them is “either “The Revenant,” “The Big Short” or “Spotlight.”
We have just about as many predictable categories this year as we have unpredictable categories.
Anyway, check out our final 2016 Oscar Predictions below and check out our 2017 Oscar Predictions here.
The full list of 2016 nominees and winners are below.
Mad Max: Fury Road
Son of Saul
Star Wars VII: The Force Awakens
I saw so many movies in 2015, and I wish that I had seen a few more! I haven’t seen “Son of Saul” or a lot of the documentaries, but I do plan on watching them and updating this list as time goes on. But for now here are my Top 20 Films of 2015.
19. Bridge of Spies
18. The Look of Silence
16. 99 Homes
Okay, yes, I know I’m technically an Oscar blogger too, but hell I’m telling you now not to listen to me as well. The best we can tell you is that “Best Picture” will be either awarded to “The Big Short,” “The Revenant,” “Spotlight,” or hell, even “Mad Max” has a chance.
The Producer’s Guild completely shifted the momentum from “Boyhood” to “Birdman” last year, but this year is incredibly different. “Spotlight” didn’t have too much momentum, and it has plenty of time to be that underdog the rises back up.
My two cents? Watch the guilds. SAG is “Spotlight” vs. “Big Short;” I’m calling “Big Short.” WGA comes around “Big Short” again, which is the easy adapted screenplay front-runner. But DGA? Is “Big Short enough of a directorial effort? No, I don’t think so, but momentum can easily get McKay that award.
I think Miller is too bold for the DGA, as admired as he is, so that leaves Iñárritu. But will the Academy vote on a split? If DGA goes Iñárritu I think we can expect a split between the two “The Revenant” and “The Big Short.” But again, don’t listen to me. I know nothing. No one knows anything. Go to bed. Accept the mystery.
After “The Revenant” scored 12 nominations on Thursday morning, you have to start thinking that the HFPA favoring “The Revenant” to “Spotlight” wasn’t just a fluke.
We’ll watch and follow the momentum, there is still plenty of time before the Oscars, but we’ve seen this momentum change at the end all too often in the past few years. Primarily when it was supposed to go to “Boyhood” but went to “Birdman” and in 2011 when it was supposed to go to “The Social Network” but went to “The King’s Speech.”
Watch for the PGA and DGA winners as well to notice any significant momentum shift. “Spotlight” should win SAG and PGA, but I think all “The Revenant” needs is a push from a DGA win to secure its victory. If “The Revenant” wins PGA? Well, then it’s over.
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
We aren’t doing a traditional live blog for the Golden Globe this year since I will be driving home from work the first 30 minutes of the ceremony.
I will however, update this post frequently which contains information on who wins as well as our predictions and personal picks per category.
Motion Picture – Drama
Mad Max: Fury Road
Winner: The Revenant
My Prediction: Spotlight
Alt. Prediction: Mad Max: Fury Road
My Pick: The Revenant