Get On Up
Last Updated: 03/14/14
This may sound like a stretch, but this film could make a run for Best Picture next year. Viola Davis and Chadwick Boseman seem like strong possibilities for awards. Tate Taylor has had success before with “The Help” so we’ll have to see if this film takes the elements that he got right with “The Help” and expands upon them.
There will undoubtedly be some major snubs when the Oscar nominations are announced January 16th. Major front-runners have often been pushed aside. Some say this is because voters won’t pick the obvious choice so they can help an underdog get in.
Unfortunately this helps to eliminate a lot of major front-runners. (Which is said to have happened last year to Ben Affleck for “Argo.”)
So really though, no one is completely safe. So here are list of some obvious choices that could get the booth on the morning of the 16th.
Last Updated: 01/10/14
This movie has some good buzz around it. The trailer leaves a lot to the imagination however. Granted, the cinematography and action looks pretty stellar.
Awards: Final Golden Globe Predictions
One of the most widely acknowledged awards shows will announce its nominees 5:15am PT/8:15am ET. After what we have seen with the Screen Actors Guild nominees you should be expecting attention from “The Butler,” “Enough Said,” and “August: Osage County.” Among the usual front-runners.
After tomorrow the Golden Globes Page will only predict winners of the categories and we’ll see how we did.
So here are the Final Golden Globe Predictions: (more…)
Awards: SAG Predictions
The Screen Actors Guild awards can be a little bit difficult to predict. They happen early in the year where it is hard to tell which December films SAG has seen and hasn’t seen. For example “Django Unchained” got nothing last year, because not one had seen it yet. Even though it had a very strong acting ensemble.
This year “The Wolf of Wall Street” has reportedly screened for the nominating committee, but what about the members? It is likely “The Wolf of Wall Street” won’t go anywhere here, but I’m going to take that road and say that it will get some attention (But I won’t completely fall for it here).
So here are my final locked-in predictions for SAG (with my runner-up choices):
Awards: Are NYFCC and NBR winners “Her” and “American Hustle destined for gold?
Full Chart of winners after the jump.
It’s not really a rare occurrence that the New York Film Critics Association and the National Board of Review disagree with each other. They are usually the first precursors of the year, and truthfully they often mean very little for later ceremonies. Still, these decisions can have factors in the race to the Oscars.
Yesterday prognosticators were blindsided by “American Hustle” not only winning the NYFCC’s coveted best picture title, but also winning awards for its screenplay and Jennifer Lawrence’s supporting performance. Many had predicted it’d have some success with awards, but not that it’d breakthrough critical darlings “12 Years a Slave” and “Gravity.” Early consensus has stated that the film is good, but not that good.
(July 26 2013; The Weinstein Company)
Summary: The true story of Oscar, a 22-years-old Bay Area resident, who crosses paths with friends, enemies, family, and strangers on the last day of 2008.
Long Shots: Best Actor
Early Word: Winner of Sundance’s top prize, rave reviews, and distribution from The Weinstein Company. The only thing that can really hurt this film with awards is it’s early release date.
Director: Ryan Coogler
Writer: Ryan Coogler
Starring: Michael B. Jordan, Melonie Diaz, Octavia Spencer
Cinematographer: Rachel Morrison
Production Designer: Hannah Beachler
Editor: Claudio Castello, Michael P. Shawver
Original Music: Ludwig Goransson
Awards: Way too early 2014 Oscar Predictions
This Article is out-of-date! All current Oscar Predictions can be found HERE
So yes, this is way to incredibly early, and it’ll be tremendous fun to revisit this post to see how incredibly wrong these predictions turned out to be. I remember everyone who predicted really early a couple years back thought Amelia that movie about Amelia Earhart with Hilary Swank was going to sweep, and it received atrocious reviews.
Something like that could easily happen. Couple years back Jason Reitman (who had previously received award attention for Juno and Up in the Air) was reported to be doing a film with Charlize Theron. Young Adult met mid to positive reviews.
So here we are now, pretty much pure speculation based on previous years and the names attached to the projects. Release date is a big factor to, only the films at Sundance have been reaffirmed (though it felt nothing was thoroughly raved about this year) Fruitvale and Before Midnight probably getting the most results.
So here’s what I have come up with for next year, last year we had an impressive slate with a Spielberg president biopic, a strong emotional Broadway musical from a previous winner, a hunt for Osama bin Laden picture from a previous Oscar winning director and screenwriter, and a Tarantino western. All which ultimately ended up in the final mix. (more…)