Awards: Oscar Predictions 2013 – September/October
by Matthew Durham

I recently wrote an article about What we learned from Telluride, Venice and Toronto. Within it I kind of hinted at what Oscar Predictions would be looking like come February (Ceremony has been moved to February, Announcement of nominations to January.)

I had meant to do my predictions earlier, but wanted to do some major research before posting them, a lot of mathematics and consideration help from other more popular Oscar bloggers at websites and most importantly Gold Derby, which takes all the bloggers predictions and narrows them in percentages.

So here are my predictions for the 2013 Oscar nominations at this point:

Best Picture
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
The Master
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Runner Ups
Moonrise Kingdom
Django Unchained
Flight
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Promised Land

Best Director
Ben Affleck, Argo
Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
Tom Hooper, Les Miserables
David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

Runner Ups
Kathyrn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty
Ang Lee, Life of Pi
Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
Wes Anderson, Moonrise Kingdom
Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Actor
Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

Runner Ups
Denzel Washington, Flight
Anthony Hopkins, Hitchcock
Richard Gere, Arbitrage
Bill Murray, Hyde Park on Hudson
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Best Actress
Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
Keira Knightley, Anna Karenina
Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts, The Impossible

Runner Ups
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
Helen Mirren, Hitchcock
Meryl Streep, Hope Springs
Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Viola Davis, Won’t Back Down

Supporting Actor
Alan Arkin, Argo
Russell Crowe, Les Miserables
Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook
Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master

Runner Ups
Dwight Henry, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Hal Holbrook, Promised Land
Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
David Straithairn, Lincoln
Sacha Baron Cohen, Les Miserables

Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, The Master
Samantha Barks, Les Miserables
Sally Field, Lincoln
Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
Helen Hunt, The Sessions

Runner Ups
Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
Maggie Smith, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Kerry Washington, Django Unchained
Ann Dowd, Compliance
Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook

Original Screenplay
Amour
Django Unchained
The Master
Moonrise Kingdom
Zero Dark Thirty

Runner Ups
Flight
Promised Land
The Impossible
Looper
Magic Mike

Adapted Screenplay
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook

Runner Ups
Life of Pi
Cloud Atlas
The Sessions
Anna Karenina
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

Animated Film
Brave
Frankenweenie
The Rabbi’s Cat
Rise of the Guardians
Wreck-It-Ralph

Runner Ups
A Liar’s Autobiography
ParaNorman
From Up on Poppy Hill
Madagascar 3
Pirates! Band of Misfits

Production Design
Anna Karenina
Les Miserables
Lincoln
The Master
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey

Runner Ups
Django Unchained
Life of Pi
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Cloud Atlas
Argo

Cinematography
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Les Miserables
Lincoln
Life of Pi
The Master

Runner Ups
Django Unchained
The Dark Knight Rises
Anna Karenina
Cloud Atlas
Argo

Costume Design
Anna Karenina
Cloud Atlas
Les Miserables
Lincoln
The Master

Runner Ups
Great Expectations
Django Unchained
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
Mirror Mirror
Snow White and the Huntsman

Film Editing
Argo
Les Miserables
Lincoln
The Master
Zero Dark Thirty

Runner Ups
Cloud Atlas
Beasts of the Southern Wild
The Dark Knight Rises
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook

We will be expanding our predictions categorically soon. Keep in mind the selected five are in ABC order and the Runner Ups are in order by most possible to overthrow one of the selected five.