After compiling some statistics from other websites, taking into consideration the politics of award races, and considering criticism of shows/performances. This is how I believe the Emmy Nominations will look this year.
Best Television Series Drama
Boardwalk Empire
Breaking Bad
Downtown Abbey
Game of Thrones
Homeland
Mad Men
Best Television Actor in a Dramatic Series
Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire
Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Kelsey Grammar, Boss
Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Damian Lewis, Homeland
Best Television Actress in a Dramatic Series
Glenn Close, Damages
Clair Danes, Homeland
Julianna Marguiles, The Good Wife
Debra Messing, Smash
Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Best Television Series Comedy
The Big Bang Theory
Modern Family
New Girl
Parks and Recreation
30 Rock
Veep
Best Actor in a Comedic Television Series
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Louis C.K., Louie
Larry David, Curb Your Enthusiasm
Johnny Galecki, The Big Bang Theory
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
Best Actress in a Comedic Television Series
Laura Dern, Enlgihtened
Zooey Deschanel, New Girl
Julia Louis-Dreyfuss, Veep
Melissa McCarthy, Mike and Molly
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
Best Movie made for TV or Mini-Series
American Horror Story
Game Change
Great Expectations
Hatfields and McCoys
Hemingway and Gellhorn
Sherlock: Scandal in Belgravia
Best Actor in a TV Movie or Mini-Series
Benedict Cumberpatch, Sherlock: Scandal in Belgravia
Idris Elba, Luther
Woody Harrelson, Game Change
Bill Nighty, Page Eight
Clive Owen, Hemingway and Gelhorn
Best Actress in a TV Movie or Mini-Series
Connie Britton, American Horror Story
Nicole Kidman, Hemingway and Gelhorn
Julianne Moore, Game Change
Emily Watson, Appropriate Adults
Rachel Weisz, Page Eight
Best Actor in a Supporting Role in a Dramatic Series
Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
Giancarlo, Esposito, Breaking Bad
Mandy Patinkin, Homeland
Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
John Slattery, Mad Men
Best Actress in a Supporting Role in a Dramatic Series
Christin Baranski, The Good Wife
Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
Kelly MacDonald, Boardwalk Empire
Archi Panjabi, The Good Wife
Maggie Smith, Downtown Abbey
Best Actor in a Supporting Role in a Comedic Series
Ty Burrell, Modern Family
Max Greenfield, New Girl
Nick Offerman, Parks and Recreation
Ed O’Neill, Modern Family
Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
Best Actress in a Supporting Role for a Comedic Series
Julie Bowen, Modern Family
Cloris Leachman, Raising Hope
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
Betty White, Hot in Cleveland
Kristen Wiig, Saturday Night Live
Best Actor in a Supporting Role for a TV Movie or Mini-Series
Powers Booth, Hatfields and McCoys
Martin Freeman, Sherlock: Scandal in Belgravia
Michael Gambon, Page Eight
Ed Harris, Game Change
David Straithairn, Hemingway and Belhorn
Best Actress in a Supporting Role for a TV Movie or Mini-Series
Gillian Anderson, Great Expectations
Judy Davis, Page Eight
Jessica Lange, American Horror Story
Sarah Paulson, Game Change
Mare Winningham, Hatfields and McCoys
Best Reality Competition Series
American Idol
The Amazing Race
So You Think You Can Dance
Top Chef
The Voice
Best Reality Show Host
Tom Bergeron, Dancing With the Stars
Cat Deeley, So You Think You Can Dance
Phil Keoghan, The Amazing Race
Jeff Probst, Survivor
Ryan Seacrest, American Idol
Best Variety Series
Colbert Report
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart
Late Night with Jimmy Fallon
Real Time with Bill Mahr
Saturday Night Live
Best Guest Actor in a Comedy Series
Alan Alda, The Big C
Will Arnett, 30 Rock
Matt Bomer, Glee
Jimy Fallon, Saturday Night Live
Michael J. Fox, Curb Your Enthusiasm
Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
Ellen Barkin, Modern Family
Patricia Clarkson, Parks and Recretion
Blythe Danner, Up All Night
Melissa McCarthy, Saturday Night Live
Maya Rudolph, Saturday Night Live
Best Guest Actor in a Drama Series
Michael J. Fox, The Good Wife
Chris Messina, Damages
Robert Morse, Mad Men
Matthew Perry, The Good Wife
Fred Willard, The Closer
Best Guest Actress in a Drama Series
Joan Cusack, Shameless
Loretta Devine, Grey’s Anatomy
Louise Fletcher, Shameless
Jean Smart, Harry’s Law
Uma Thurman, Smash
